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Hello!Project 2018 Prediction Thread It's been an unpredictable year--what about 2018? 23 replies to this topic Started by TicTacAnyone , Nov 09 2017 05:19 AM · 

#1 TicTacAnyone

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  • Danbara's #1 fan

Posted 09 November 2017 - 05:19 AM

UPaxUN3.jpg

2018 will be Hello!Project's 20th anniversary. 2017 has seen a lot of surprising changes, departures, and arrivals. 

 

Per usual, feel free to comment with whatever predictions you have for H!P in the year 2018... It's usually easiest to divide it by bullet sections for each group.

 

Here are most of the correct predictions we made last year, grouped up:

 

Spoiler

 

Get those brains going!

 

Morning Musume:

Angerme:

Juice=Juice:

Country Girls:

Kobushi Factory:

Tsubaki Factory:

Reina's Group:

KSS:

 

Extra:



#2 Anderei

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Posted 09 November 2017 - 06:09 AM

Everyone: Will continue to be boring. 

 

Doesn't get any safer than that! A couple of these groups are lucky I even remember they exist.



#3 Myst

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  • ANGERME

Posted 09 November 2017 - 06:15 AM

Everyone: Will continue to be boring.

Doesn't get any safer than that! A couple of these groups are lucky I even remember they exist.


I mean, Kobushi's drama has been kind of interesting 😂

#4 Anderei

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Posted 09 November 2017 - 01:51 PM

Everyone: Will continue to be boring.

Doesn't get any safer than that! A couple of these groups are lucky I even remember they exist.

I mean, Kobushi's drama has been kind of interesting 😂

I mean in terms of like releases and promotional activities and what not.

#5 Mukuro

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Posted 09 November 2017 - 03:53 PM

I feel like having two months left is too early to make any bold predictions, so I'm just going to make my standard ones now:

 

-Iikubo Haruna graduates

-Katsuta Rina graduates

- All groups actually release music in the second half of the year

-Kobushi gets members from the 2018 new member addition

-Masaki starts acting like a drama queen when Haruka is gone, gets fired al la Rio style.

-Yokoyama gets a lead song 

-Kobushi Factory gets the Country Girls treatment and eventually only does digital releases



#6 yuzu

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Posted 09 November 2017 - 03:53 PM

A tsubaki member is the next to be caught up in scandal.  I don't know them well enough to guess who.

 

Masaki will graduate MM.  Probably some other member as well but I have no idea who it would be.

 

Members of this latest audition get added to Kobushi.



#7 Mizura

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  • ANGERME

Posted 09 November 2017 - 05:29 PM

Morning museums: Someone else is going to graduate. I’m thinking Iikubo, Masaki or Mizuki. Their songs will stay pretty much the way they’ve been and they won’t really have anything really different that’ll warrant any image change.

Angerme: Maho is probably going to leave. If she doesn’t, someone else is going to graduate. Probably Akari or Rina.

J=J. They’ll probably stay consistent and keep releasing decent songs. If someone does graduate it’ll probably be KanaTomo or Yuka.

Tsubaki Factory: they’ll continue to do decently well and better than Kobushi Factory. Someone is probably going to graduate or have a scandal. There’s no way that 9 members is going to last for a long time.

Kobushi Factory: Can’t tell if Taguchi is going to leave or not. But I don’t really expect anything exciting to happen either way. They’ll probably continue to have mediocre occasional releases and they might add a new member or 2 to make it more interesting.

Reina’s group: Hopefully they’ll announce it and it’ll be well received and I’ll like it more than Kobushi Factory.

KSS: Inoue Hikaru debuts into the Reina group. Takase Kurumi and Momohime end up joining as well and holding concurrent positions with Engeki Joshibu

#8 Anderei

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Posted 09 November 2017 - 09:12 PM

I agree Tsubaki will probably lose someone in the next year or two. I think Melon were the only permanent group that didn't have a graduation within the first couple years.

#9 Madara

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Posted 09 November 2017 - 10:03 PM

The shoe will continue to drop.



#10 DonJuan

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Posted 09 November 2017 - 10:07 PM

You know what? Looking for stuff to talk about I realized that there really were embarassingly few releases this year...

 

- MM got two physical singles, 6 months apart from each other, fortunately a (self-cover) digital release and an album as well or else H!P would've looked really bad

- ANGERME got one... single-single and one... BD-single..? (soon to be released)

- J=J had one physical and one digital single (and we're still waiting for the full MV of the latter) (...and ... Goal... which was also a digital single but everyone forgot about that one? i mean they even count Fiesta Fiesta as their first digital single?)

- CG had the same as J=J, as well as an album which was released under Momoko's name (lol). But then again, CG had other problems to deal with this year...

- Kobushi had one single. dude. 

- Tsubaki is the only other group with 2 physical single releases. They also had nothing else, while the others had soundtrack albums or something. Not counting these though because honestly who cares about them.

 

Makes 9-ish (depending on what you count the second ANGERME single as...) physical singles for 6 groups. Eh. Remember when J=J only got one single one year and their fans were pissed? Well.

 

Going on with the predictions...

 

Morning Musume

- another graduation, for sure.

- see them announce 15ki auditions sometime next year

- two new singles next year

- Morito, Yokoyan and Miki will get special focus

- Kaede will become the tomboy once Duu is gone 

 

ANGERME

- hopefully more than one single

- will continue as 9. I expect Maho to leave completely at the end of this year, there won't be graduations next year

- another stageplay, again with Dawa and Moe as the protagonists - and Takechan and Kana as the guys. lol.

 

Juice=Juice

- two singles

- will go on as if nothing happened

- finally US tour stop

 

CG

- one digital single

- will be disbanded afterwards

 

Kobushi

- how does Up-Front fix problems? add members!! (at least two for Kobushi)

- they're rebranding the group, therefore they'll get at least two singles

 

Tsubaki (I nearly forgot about them, see how much I care about them)

- going against the general opinion I'm gonna say they won't lose a member

- if they're going to lose a member it's going to be Kiki due to health reasons (apparently she's still not performing with them?)

- will continue to have rather sucessful singles (selling more copies than Kobushi and J=J)

- another photobook for the group, probably Kisora because I care about her as much as I do about Riko (= not at all)

 

Ichioka Factory

- will get members from the H!P auditions and KSS

- there will be an awkwardly large age difference between Ichioka and the youngest members (I expect a 13yo to join)

- since they're the new hot thing we'll be amazed by the promotion for them (only for them to be dropped 2019/20)

 

KSS

- some will go to Ichioka Factory

- if not chosen for IF Inoue Hikaru will leave

- Yuhane will continue to get CM deals

 

Extras

- Ozeko will quit showbiz, Yamakki will stay for as long as her university education takes

- there will be at least one graduation due to health reasons, money is on Kiki and/or Masaki.

- Tsunku will write only 2 songs for single releases. in general. they probably both go to MM. 

- all their youtube channels will stay as boring as they are

- we're going to talk about some management members



#11 Anderei

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Posted 09 November 2017 - 10:14 PM

^
As long as they maintain this many full time groups, they'll continue to all have fewer releases as a result. The days are long gone where they focus on releasing stuff for MM and everything else comes second.

Tsubaki have had two major singles but still have never even toured which is weirder. It's not necessarily a bad idea to pull back a bit on releases but touring is an idol groups bread and butter

#12 DonJuan

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Posted 09 November 2017 - 10:29 PM

Good point, especially considering how much they milk J=J's touring. 

 

And yeah, less releases make sense, but honestly they could also just split two triple a-sides into three double a-sides. I doubt fans would care.



#13 Anderei

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Posted 09 November 2017 - 10:50 PM

They wouldn't but it would still mean fitting three promo periods in a year in between touring and all the other groups. This isn't a problem just H!P is having. The 48 groups and Stardust are experiencing it too due to the number of groups they're all pumping out.

#14 DonJuan

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Posted 09 November 2017 - 11:03 PM

Ah, well, makes sense. It just makes everything feel slow.



#15 Solarblade

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Posted 09 November 2017 - 11:07 PM

You know what? Looking for stuff to talk about I realized that there really were embarassingly few releases this year...

 

- MM got two physical singles, 6 months apart from each other, fortunately a (self-cover) digital release and an album as well or else H!P would've looked really bad

- ANGERME got one... single-single and one... BD-single..? (soon to be released)

- J=J had one physical and one digital single (and we're still waiting for the full MV of the latter) (...and ... Goal... which was also a digital single but everyone forgot about that one? i mean they even count Fiesta Fiesta as their first digital single?)

- CG had the same as J=J, as well as an album which was released under Momoko's name (lol). But then again, CG had other problems to deal with this year...

- Kobushi had one single. dude. 

- Tsubaki is the only other group with 2 physical single releases. They also had nothing else, while the others had soundtrack albums or something. Not counting these though because honestly who cares about them.

 

Juice=Juice also had Jouro release too, but yeah many forgot about that XD



#16 Thea

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Posted 09 November 2017 - 11:09 PM

I think we all know the prediction Thea wants to make, but I'm scared of doing so. If saying it will happen will make it not happen, haha....  :unsure:



#17 DonJuan

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Posted 09 November 2017 - 11:35 PM

Juice=Juice also had Jouro release too, but yeah many forgot about that XD

 

Damn, I did... so J=J wasn't even that bad off this year. I mean their world tour in general was already big and they got two good new members, but now, with basically 4 releases...



#18 Solarblade

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Posted 09 November 2017 - 11:46 PM

Actually compared to last year, I'd say we got more songs this year (and releases for that matter)



#19 honey

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Posted 10 November 2017 - 01:26 AM

Ozeki Mai will lose interest in idol activities and the other three will find it too stressful to balance both groups, and CG will disband. Risa will continue to be active under H!P in other random projects.

#20 Anderei

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Posted 10 November 2017 - 02:52 AM

Juice=Juice also had Jouro release too, but yeah many forgot about that XD


Damn, I did... so J=J wasn't even that bad off this year. I mean their world tour in general was already big and they got two good new members, but now, with basically 4 releases...

Depends on if you think unpromoted digital releases are a replacement for physical ones. They're also one of the most inactive groups when it comes to magazines, tv and stuff so there's definitely a trade off.

#21 Derby

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Posted 10 November 2017 - 03:10 PM

MM'18:
- Mizuki, Haruna and Masaki will graduate. Haruna and Masaki on spring, Mizuki on fall.
- Sakura does not become the 2nd sub-leader.
- Chisaki's color will be changed before their Spring tour.
- By the time of Mizuki's grad, Miki will be a frontgirl and Yokoyama and Morito will still get pushed.
- Riho will show up at one H!P event and probably some more during the year.
 
Angerme:
- Takeuchi graduates and Maho is taken out of the group.
- Kasahara doesn't get a big push. Moe, Dawa and Mizuki will still get a lot more than her. (Single-wise)
 
Juice=Juice:
- Will get better singles and a rise in sales.
 
Kobushi:
- 3 new members to get back to 8.
- Their sales stay kinda low.
 
Tsubaki:
- No member graduations but an hiatus announced.
 
Ichioka's group:
- They will debut around the end of the year very late and only relese indies in the meantime.
- Despite their 'early' debut they won't be heavily promoted.


#22 Zoe

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Posted 10 November 2017 - 03:43 PM

Whatever happened to Tomoko's health? It doesn't seem to have slowed down J=J.

#23 Anderei

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Posted 10 November 2017 - 07:11 PM

Whatever happened to Tomoko's health? It doesn't seem to have slowed down J=J.


There are varying degrees of severity for endometriosis right? And their choreo tends to not be super intense, imo. She's a good candidate for leaving simply because next year her and Yuka will be 23 and 24. I think them adding new members basically cemented that management doesn't plan on them being around much longer.

#24 Saya

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Posted Yesterday, 18 Nov, 10:38PM

Morning Musume: kind of continues on the path of meh, no new members until 2019,  no graduations this year, graduation announced at Fall tour for next spring

 

Angerme: Maho doesn't return, continues to release great singles, releases 3 next year, I see Aya sticking around till she's 25, if there are any graduation announcements it'l be for the fall tour and it'll be Katsuta

 

Juice=Juice: releases a new album, continues to release alternative singles, I don't see them adding anybody without some kid of exceptional skill to the "professional group"

 

Country Girls: releases 2 digital singles with every H!P concert (4 total), only concert music videos to everyone's disappointment 

 

Kobushi Factory: gets shafted in light of all the scandals, only releases 2 singles

 

Tsubaki Factory: no graduations or additions, rises above Kobushi in terms of treatment and gets more spotlight, releases 2 singles that are really good

 

Reina's Group: 8 members, Reina, 3 girls from the H!P Audition (Kodama, Goto, and Momoko) , 3 Kenshuusei, and a surprise member (maybe Ozeki, Yamaki, or a Hokkaido KSS), only releases indie singles this year, and they're all digital or only for sale at concerts

 

KSS: Audition failures join (Yuriya, Shion, Ruru, Anna, and Nanami) one of them leaves within a year

 

Extra: H!P as a whole moves away from physical releases and focuses more on digital releases